Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$70k Liq.
🔥$69k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$69k today$70k Liq.Ended
58%
June 30
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$492k Vol.
$214k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$492k Vol.$214k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
43%
No Meeting by June 30
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$271k Vol.
$49k Liq.
6
Ends in 27 days
$271k Vol.$49k Liq.6Ends in 27 days
14%
April 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.6m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$6.7m today
1,412
$81.6m Vol.🔥$6.7m today$2.5m Liq.1,412
73%
December 31
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$12.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
376
Ended
$12.0m Vol.🔥$1.4m today$1.1m Liq.376Ended
88%
December 31
T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$11.0m Vol.
$508k Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
214
Ends in 3 months
$11.0m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$508k Liq.214Ends in 3 months
78%
June 30
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
$140k Vol.
$65k Liq.
🔥$118k today
3
Ends in about 2 months
$140k Vol.🔥$118k today$65k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
17%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$235k Vol.
$129k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in 27 days
$235k Vol.🔥$56k today$129k Liq.Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$964k Vol.
$39k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$39k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$101k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$101k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
23%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$74k Vol.
$86k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$86k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
30%
December 31
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$199k Vol.$100k Liq.Ends in 27 days
6%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
W
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$132k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$132k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 27 days
6%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$432k Vol.
$34k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$432k Vol.$34k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$164k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$164k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
23%
Leadership Change