Doomsday Clock Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
$34k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
7%
Dune 3
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
earthquake · Natural Disaster
Megaquake by March 31?
$127k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$127k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?
$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$19k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
Culture · Politics
Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?
$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
$18k Vol.$0 Liq.8Ended
No
Politics · Geopolitics
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended
$57k Vol.$0 Liq.36Ended
Yes
Geopolitics · Politics
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
$231k Vol.
$0 Liq.
48
Ended
$231k Vol.$0 Liq.48Ended
Yes
Science · Boeing
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?
$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
$23k Vol.$0 Liq.8Ended
No
Space · Science
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?
$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$21k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
Business · hacker
LockBit releases hacked London Drugs data by noon Friday?
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
25
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.25Ended
Yes
<$38m
<$1b / No token in 2024
Spain wins in 90 min
Geopolitics · Politics
Nuclear weapon detonation before October?
$225k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
$225k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended
No
