Elon Vspt Open AI Predictions & Odds· 134 markets
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$17k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$17k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in almost 2 years
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in almost 2 years
78%
SpaceX
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
8%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
24%
Yes
55%
April 30
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
Sports · Basketball
Elon Phoenix vs. Stony Brook Seawolves (W)
$43 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$43 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Stony Brook Seawolves
11%
Yes
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
$802 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$802 Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 days
41%
65-89
17%
Yes
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$9k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$9k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
29%
Yes
Sports · Basketball
Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix (W)
$69 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$69 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Elon Phoenix
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4m Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.4m Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in almost 2 years
66%
$800B