Elon Vspt Open AI Predictions & Odds· 135 markets
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in almost 2 years
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in almost 2 years
78%
SpaceX
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
8%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
2%
Yes
24%
Yes
55%
Yes
55%
April 30
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
Sports · Basketball
Elon Phoenix vs. Stony Brook Seawolves (W)
$43 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$43 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Stony Brook Seawolves
12%
Yes
17%
Yes
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
$11k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$11k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 5 days
35%
65-89
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$896 Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$896 Liq.4Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Sports · Basketball
Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix (W)
$69 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$69 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Elon Phoenix
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.4m Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in almost 2 years
67%
$800B