Faculty Predictions & Odds· 127 markets
I
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$88k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 27 days
$88k Vol.$25k Liq.2Ends in 27 days
12%
April 30
W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$136k Vol.
$143k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$136k Vol.$143k Liq.Ends in 27 days
30%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
E
72%
No change
A
3%
Yes
G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$44k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$44k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
57%
Yes
E
75%
25 bps Increase
C
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
$358 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$358 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 27 days
12%
Yes
E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$1k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
19%
Yes
A
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$4k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
E
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
W
55%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$544k Vol.
$14k Liq.
🔥$123k today
178
$544k Vol.🔥$123k today$14k Liq.178
22%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$50k Vol.
$9k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$50k Vol.$9k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
19%
Yes
M
47%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.5m Vol.
$455k Liq.
🔥$161k today
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.5m Vol.🔥$161k today$455k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
59%
>$600M
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$104k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$104k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire