Faculty Predictions & Odds· 127 markets
I
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$90k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in 27 days
$90k Vol.$40k Liq.2Ends in 27 days
12%
April 15
W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$138k Vol.
$164k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$138k Vol.$164k Liq.Ends in 27 days
28%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
E
75%
No change
G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$44k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$44k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
A
3%
Yes
E
75%
25 bps Increase
E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$1k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
16%
Yes
C
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
$380 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$380 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 27 days
11%
Yes
A
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$5k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$5k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
E
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
W
56%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$648k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$133k today
226
$648k Vol.🔥$133k today$20k Liq.226
98%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
M
53%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.6m Vol.
$444k Liq.
🔥$156k today
259
Ends in 3 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$156k today$444k Liq.259Ends in 3 months
65%
>$600M
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$104k Vol.
$53k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$104k Vol.$53k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire