Fed Rates Predictions & Odds· 139 markets
Fed decision in April?
$38.9m Vol.
$3.2m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
18
Ends in 29 days
$38.9m Vol.🔥$2.1m today$3.2m Liq.18Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.6m Vol.
$239k Liq.
🔥$411k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.6m Vol.🔥$411k today$239k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$274k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$274k today$1.1m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
35%
0 (0 bps)
Fed Decision in June?
$4.6m Vol.
$753k Liq.
🔥$226k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.🔥$226k today$753k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
21%
Yes
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$10k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 29 days
46%
2
73%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
53%
>5%
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$306k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$306k today$1.7m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$276k Liq.
🔥$278k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$278k today$276k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
32%
3.75%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$201k Liq.
🔥$237k today
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$237k today$201k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
67%
↓ 3.25%
64%
December Meeting
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$135k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$135k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$14k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$14k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$242k Vol.
$18k Liq.
11
Ends in about 8 hours
$242k Vol.$18k Liq.11Ends in about 8 hours
6%
4.5%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$154k Vol.
$22k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$154k Vol.$22k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
88%
4.5%