Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 1142 markets
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$77k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$134k Liq.
🔥$195k today
122
Ends in about 4 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$195k today$134k Liq.122Ends in about 4 hours
30%
April 30
Who visited Epstein's Island?
$1.4m Vol.
$327k Liq.
🔥$128k today
120
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$128k today$327k Liq.120Ends in 3 months
32%
Kevin Spacey
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$21k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$21k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$647k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$647k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in almost 3 years
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in almost 3 years
69%
Yes
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$314k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 4 hours
$314k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
$281k Vol.
$16k Liq.
43
Ends in 9 months
$281k Vol.$16k Liq.43Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
$169k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$169k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$113k Vol.
$13k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$113k Vol.$13k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 4 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 4 hours
98%
Yes
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$85k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$85k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
62%
Kristi Noem
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes