Germany Predictions & Odds· 159 markets

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
$29k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$29k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

Berlin State Election Winner
$2.5m Vol.
$96k Liq.
🔥$298k today
9
Ends in 6 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$298k today$96k Liq.9Ends in 6 months
53%
CDU

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
$519k Vol.
$85k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
$519k Vol.$85k Liq.1Ends in 5 months
89%
AfD

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
$133k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$133k Vol.$66k Liq.Ends in 6 months
85%
AfD

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
$39k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 months
$39k Vol.$54k Liq.3Ends in 5 months
87%
CDU

Sports · Games
Germany vs. Ghana
$273k Vol.
$315k Liq.
🔥$237k today
Ends in about 8 hours
$273k Vol.🔥$237k today$315k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
86%
Germany

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
$4.8m Vol.
$86k Liq.
🔥$52k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$4.8m Vol.🔥$52k today$86k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
$528k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$528k Vol.$63k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

Rocket League · Esports
Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Germany

Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$16k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
49%
0.1-0.3%

Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$125k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ends in about 13 hours
$125k Vol.$15k Liq.21Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$44k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$44k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

Soccer · Sports
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
$427.3m Vol.
$49.3m Liq.
🔥$17.7m today
450
Ends in 4 months
$427.3m Vol.🔥$17.7m today$49.3m Liq.450Ends in 4 months
16%
Spain

Eurovision Winner 2026
$50.6m Vol.
$8.2m Liq.
🔥$3.1m today
249
Ends in about 2 months
$50.6m Vol.🔥$3.1m today$8.2m Liq.249Ends in about 2 months
35%
Finland

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$629k Vol.
$122k Liq.
🔥$402k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$629k Vol.🔥$402k today$122k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
41%
United States

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$423k Liq.
🔥$391k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$10.9m Vol.🔥$391k today$423k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
3%
Saudi Arabia