Fivethiryeight Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
5
43%
Yes
W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$117k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
W
Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?
$60k Vol.
$2k Liq.
12
Ends in about 20 hours
$60k Vol.$2k Liq.12Ends in about 20 hours
1%
Yes
H
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$49k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$49k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 5 days
52%
1
R
Esports · Rainbow Six Siege
Rainbow Six Siege: 100 Thieves vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group A
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 2 days
75%
100 Thieves
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$12k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
84%
Happy Easter
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$180 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$180 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 10 days
35%
60-79
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$107k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$107k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
67%
8+
N
50%
Up
N
51%
Up
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$820 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$820 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 10 days
50%
160-179
W
S&P 500 · Indicies
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?
$19k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 3 months
87%
↓ $6,300
N
49%
Up
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.1m Vol.
$568k Liq.
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.1m Vol.$568k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 5 days
87%
Sunday
W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)
$24 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$24 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 3 days
81%
Trump
M
46%
Yes
C
61%
June 30, 2026
W
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$3k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 10 days
81%
Dollar 5+ times