Gavin Newsom Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
$76k Vol.
$10k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$10k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$942.4m Vol.
$38.4m Liq.
🔥$8.6m today
628
Ends in over 2 years
$942.4m Vol.🔥$8.6m today$38.4m Liq.628Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom

Presidential Election Winner 2028
$474.9m Vol.
$28.5m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
803
Ends in over 2 years
$474.9m Vol.🔥$6.0m today$28.5m Liq.803Ends in over 2 years
17%
JD Vance

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$386k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$386k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$282k Vol.
$570k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$282k Vol.$570k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$379k Vol.
$345k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$379k Vol.$345k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell

California Governor Election Winner
$7.7m Vol.
$707k Liq.
🔥$443k today
20
Ends in 7 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$443k today$707k Liq.20Ends in 7 months
62%
Eric Swalwell

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$772k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$772k Vol.$109k Liq.Ends in 2 months
42%
Karen Bass

93%
Democratic Party

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$50k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$50k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes

92%
Democratic Party

90%
Democratic Party

87%
Republican Party

92%
Democratic Party

70%
Democratic Party

89%
Democratic Party

95%
Democratic Party