Gemini 3 Predictions &amp; Odds · 113 markets

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$203k Vol.

$5k Liq.

Ended

95%

40%+

G

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$49k Vol.

$3k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

94%

40%+

G

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k Vol.

$9k Liq.

8

Ends in 3 months

17%

Yes

W

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$411k Vol.

$65k Liq.

3

Ended

98%

Google

W

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

$16.1m Vol.

$1.3m Liq.

🔥$283k today

1

Ended

100%

Anthropic

W

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$1.0m Vol.

$117k Liq.

2

Ended

99%

Anthropic

W

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$567k Vol.

$76k Liq.

3

Ended

99%

Anthropic

W

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

$701k Vol.

$100k Liq.

2

Ended

99%

Anthropic

W

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

$528k Vol.

$94k Liq.

1

Ended

99%

Google

G

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$812k Vol.

$72k Liq.

50

Ends in 3 months

43%

June 30

#

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$18k Vol.

$7k Liq.

Ended

98%

ChatGPT

#

Culture·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$6k Vol.

$2k Liq.

Ended

89%

Claude by Anthropic

B

Geopolitics·Israel x Iran

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$2k Vol.

$7k Liq.

Ends in 15 days

86%

April 15

M

Weather · Science

Major solar storm by April 30?

$11k Vol.

$2k Liq.

1

Ends in 30 days

10%

Yes

G

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$8k Vol.

$20k Liq.

Ends in 30 days

25%

April 30

H

Culture·Movies

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

$6k Vol.

$11k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

99%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

I

Geopolitics·Middle East

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$9k Vol.

$9k Liq.

Ends in 30 days

89%

April 4

I

Geopolitics·Middle East

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$69k Vol.

$23k Liq.

Ended

100%

March 28

C

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k Vol.

$15k Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

49%

June 30

N