Gemini Ultra Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

G
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31?

gemini ultra · technology

Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

G
Gemini 3.0 released by...?

Gemini 3.0 released by...?

$16.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,304
Ended

November 30

G
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?

$5.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended

December 31

G
Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

40%+

G
Google Gemini Parlay

Google Gemini Parlay

$167k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

G
Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

35%

G
Google Gemini 3 score on LMArena by December 31?

Google Gemini 3 score on LMArena by December 31?

$456k Vol.
$0 Liq.
104
Ended

1500+

W
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?

gemini · images

Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

T
Tech Release Parlay

Tech Release Parlay

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

B
Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) vs. More Light: Who will win?

All · Sports

Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) vs. More Light: Who will win?

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Ben Armstrong

B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

March 31

W
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?

Science · Elon Musk

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?

$605k Vol.
$0 Liq.
266
Ended

No

B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

March 10

A
Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Poker warning · Sports

Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

W
Will Bitcoin activate OP_CTV or OP_CAT in 2025?

Will Bitcoin activate OP_CTV or OP_CAT in 2025?

$493k Vol.
$0 Liq.
25
Ended

Neither

J
Jenner (SOL) vs. Jenner (ETH) market cap on June 30?

JennerETH

F
FDA approves UX111?

FDA approves UX111?

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

No

'
'Oppenheimer' opening weekend

All

'Oppenheimer' opening weekend

$202k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

>$50 million

S
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

Science · Boeing

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

'
'Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom' 4-day opening weekend

Movies · box office

'Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom' 4-day opening weekend

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

>$35 million