General Tariff Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

$1.2m Vol.
$38k Liq.
28
Ends in about 4 hours

99%

5–15%

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 4 hours

98%

Yes

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$15k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

$162k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

1%

Yes

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

15%

Yes

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

What price will Ethena hit in March?

What price will Ethena hit in March?

$97k Vol.
$174k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

13%

↓ 0.08

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

$3k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 10 months

40%

3.1%+

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

34%

800–900B

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

$34k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

33%

4.00% to 4.49%

WTT - Men's Singles: Kirill Gerassimenko vs Tom Jarvis

Sports · Games

WTT - Men's Singles: Kirill Gerassimenko vs Tom Jarvis

$256 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Gerassimenko

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

WTT - Men's Singles: Dimitrij Ovtcharov vs Anders Lind

Sports · Games

WTT - Men's Singles: Dimitrij Ovtcharov vs Anders Lind

$26 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Lind

WTT - Men's Singles: Alexis Lebrun vs Kanak Jha

Sports · Games

WTT - Men's Singles: Alexis Lebrun vs Kanak Jha

$0 Vol.
$10 Liq.
Ends in 8 days

51%

Lebrun

WTT - Men's Singles: Hugo Calderano vs Lubomir Jancarik

Sports · Games

WTT - Men's Singles: Hugo Calderano vs Lubomir Jancarik

$0 Vol.
$10 Liq.
Ends in 8 days

51%

Calderano

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$15k Liq.
63

13%

Isfahan nuclear facility