Global Warming Predictions & Odds· 133 markets
2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$279k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$279k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 7 days
99%
4th or lower
2
Science · Weather
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
43%
3rd hottest
A
Weather · Science
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$19k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$19k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
1.20–1.24ºC
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$158k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$158k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
46%
2
W
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$112k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$112k Vol.$4k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
73%
Yes
M
47%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$544k Vol.
$14k Liq.
🔥$123k today
177
$544k Vol.🔥$123k today$14k Liq.177
21%
Yes
M
global warming · Weather
May 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$366k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended
$366k Vol.$0 Liq.30Ended
1.05-1.09
A
Weather · climate
April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$990k Vol.
$0 Liq.
687
Ended
$990k Vol.$0 Liq.687Ended
1.22-1.26
A
Recurring · Weather
April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)
$70k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$70k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
>1.17
F
climate · Weather
February 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$3.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
687
Ended
$3.7m Vol.$0 Liq.687Ended
1.25-1.29
M
climate · Weather
March 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$2.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
687
Ended
$2.9m Vol.$0 Liq.687Ended
1.32-1.36
W
Weather · Science
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
$668k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
$668k Vol.$0 Liq.22Ended
Yes
2
Weather · global warming
2025 August third hottest on record?
$198k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$198k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
Yes
2
global warming · Weather
2025 August second hottest on record?
$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$50k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
2
climate · global warming
2025 August hottest on record?
$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$107k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
2
Weather · global warming
2025 May hottest on record?
$229k Vol.
$0 Liq.
575
Ended
$229k Vol.$0 Liq.575Ended
No
2
Weather · global warming
2025 June hottest on record?
$165k Vol.
$0 Liq.
575
Ended
$165k Vol.$0 Liq.575Ended
No
2
Weather · global warming
2025 March hottest on record?
$717k Vol.
$0 Liq.
57
Ended
$717k Vol.$0 Liq.57Ended
No