Gov Shutdwon Predictions & Odds· 612 markets
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$532k Vol.
$167k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$532k Vol.$167k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
37%
After April 30
W
100%
After March 31
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$21k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$21k Liq.12Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
N
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 5 days
43%
17.5-18m
W
1%
Yes
N
0%
Yes
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$557k Vol.
$23k Liq.
28
Ended
$557k Vol.$23k Liq.28Ended
51%
December 31, 2026
W
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ended
$82k Vol.$41k Liq.2Ended
5%
Jacky Rosen
N
54%
5,000-5,500
N
41%
6,500-7,000
T
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
3%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$26k Liq.
6
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$26k Liq.6Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 days
42%
160-179
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 days
42%
60-79
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026
N
52%
<3.0M