Gpt Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$123k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$123k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
Yes
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
8%
Yes
82%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$666 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$666 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$908 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$908 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$452k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$452k Liq.63Ends in 3 months
66%
Anthropic
What will happen before GTA VI?
$19.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
793
Ends in 4 months
$19.8m Vol.$1.5m Liq.793Ends in 4 months
91%
Drake releases Iceman
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.31Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$177k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$177k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
48%
Anthropic
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$199k Vol.
$101k Liq.
2
Ends in almost 2 years
$199k Vol.$101k Liq.2Ends in almost 2 years
88%
$50M
Sports · Games
WTT - Men's Singles: Benedikt Duda vs Thibault Poret
$0 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$0 Vol.$12 Liq.Ends in 9 days
50%
Duda
Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Linda Bergstroem
$0 Vol.
$9 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$0 Vol.$9 Liq.Ends in 7 days
51%
Shin
Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Prithika Pavade vs Maylis Giret
$0 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$0 Vol.$12 Liq.Ends in 8 days
51%
Pavade
Will GRVT launch a token by ___?
$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
90%
September 30, 2026