Hiring Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$121k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31

US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$21k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026

yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$819 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$819 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes

football · Sports
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$81 Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$81 Liq.3Ends in 9 months
52%
Yes

33%
4.4%

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
60%
5.0%

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$140 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$140 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

45%
Yes

28%
50k – 100k

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
$67k Vol.
$9k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 year
$67k Vol.$9k Liq.6Ends in about 1 year
7%
Yes

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 9 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 9 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes

77%
Up

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
9%
Up

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$444k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$444k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
