Impeach Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

$54k Vol.
$10k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

$10k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

4%

Yes

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in almost 3 years

70%

Yes

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

$642k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

$219k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Trump out as President by March 31?

Trump out as President by March 31?

$13.4m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$562k today
Ends in about 10 hours

0%

Yes

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

$5.4m Vol.
$309k Liq.
🔥$151k today
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

$200k Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$84k today
Ends in about 1 month

2%

Yes

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

$1.7m Vol.
$629k Liq.
🔥$75k today
Ends in 3 months

7%

Yes

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$536k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

$1.0m Vol.
$54k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

# of votes for impeachment in South Korea?

# of votes for impeachment in South Korea?

$3.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
502
Ended

<180

Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15?

Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

Alexandre de Moraes impeached in September?

Alexandre de Moraes impeached in September?

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Macron impeached in 2024?

Macron impeached in 2024?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No