Intel Predictions & Odds· 137 markets
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
$2.0m Vol.
$141k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$2.0m Vol.$141k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
91%
Nothing
Crypto · World
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
$81k Vol.
$880 Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$880 Liq.31Ends in 9 months
44%
Yes
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
US forces enter Iran by..?
$55.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$5.8m today
5,204
$55.0m Vol.🔥$5.8m today$1.1m Liq.5,204
78%
December 31
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$771k Vol.
$46k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 4 days
$771k Vol.🔥$80k today$46k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
6-9
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$165k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$62k today$165k Liq.Ends in 9 months
58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
38%
December 31
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$138k Vol.
$18k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$138k Vol.$18k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
65%
Yes
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$238k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$238k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$109k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
2%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$483k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$483k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 30
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 15 days
30%
Yes
26%
June 30
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
22%
December 31
24%
December 31
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$233k Vol.
$13k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$233k Vol.$13k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30