Iraq Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?
$376k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$376k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
20%
April 30
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$193k Liq.
🔥$234k today
Ends in about 8 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$234k today$193k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
97%
Bahrain
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$366k Vol.
$144k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$366k Vol.$144k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
Sports · Soccer
2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?
$1.5m Vol.
$125k Liq.
56
Ends in 12 days
$1.5m Vol.$125k Liq.56Ends in 12 days
78%
Italy
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$165k Vol.
$137k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$165k Vol.$137k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$89k Vol.
$45k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$89k Vol.$45k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Kuwait
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 10
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
45%
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$62k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$62k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
98%
March 28
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$6k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
27%
April 30
Israel false flag attack confirmed?
$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
87%
<20
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
<5
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 30