Launches Predictions & Odds· 206 markets
H
57%
13
H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$246k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$246k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
140-159
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$403k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
65%
<5
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$88k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$550k Vol.
$61k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$550k Vol.$61k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$209k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$209k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
W
Will MegaETH launch a token by ___?
$254k Vol.
$43k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$43k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
84%
December 31, 2026
W
93%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
$204k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$204k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
87%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
$156k Vol.
$3k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$156k Vol.$3k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31 2026
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$63k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$63k Vol.$27k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
37%
Yes
W
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
$744k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$744k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
39%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
$1.4m Vol.
$31k Liq.
58
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$31k Liq.58Ends in 9 months
64%
December 31, 2026
W
9%
Yes
W
43%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
49%
Yes
W
37%
December 31, 2026
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$91k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
$181k Vol.
$3k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$181k Vol.$3k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
67%
December 31, 2026
