Llm Predictions & Odds· 126 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$285k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$285k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$800k Vol.
$135k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$800k Vol.🔥$159k today$135k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
Anthropic
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$72k Liq.
🔥$152k today
25
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$152k today$72k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$452k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$452k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$540k Vol.
$117k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$540k Vol.$117k Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$999k Vol.
$110k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$999k Vol.$110k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$422k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$422k Liq.63Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$68k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$384k Vol.$68k Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
96%
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$525k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$525k Vol.$93k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
99%
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$617k Vol.
$108k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$617k Vol.$108k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$87k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$87k Vol.$100k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$120k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$120k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$12k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$101k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$180k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$180k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026