Manchin Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days

18%

Yes

E
Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$719k Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$247k today
Ends in 7 days

16%

260-279

E
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

$562k Vol.
$67k Liq.
🔥$330k today
Ends in 1 day

41%

65-89

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$20.6m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
3
Ends in about 11 hours

68%

240-259

N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

$29k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 days

26%

71–80

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$5.6m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$894k today
1
Ends in 4 days

26%

240-259

P
Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?

Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?

$34k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours

99%

$148-$150

W
What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

$2k Vol.
$53 Liq.
Ends in 28 days

50%

↑ $144

W
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?

Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Joe Manchin endorse Kamala?

Will Joe Manchin endorse Kamala?

$33k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

W
Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee?

Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee?

$115k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor?

No

B
Biden D-Nom replacement?

Biden D-Nom replacement?

$22.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended

Kamala Harris

W
Who will call for Biden to drop out?

Who will call for Biden to drop out?

$415k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Joe Manchin

W
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

$43k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

↑ 47100

W
What price will Ethena hit in February?

What price will Ethena hit in February?

$100k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

↓ 0.12

W
What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

↑ 20100

E
Elon Musk # tweets February 7 - February 9, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets February 7 - February 9, 2026?

$5.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

115-139

E
Elon Musk # tweets February 21 - February 23, 2026?

65-89