American Politics Predictions & Odds· 180 markets

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$193k Vol.
$33k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

$103k Vol.
$7k Liq.
19
Ended

5%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1.6m Vol.
$754k Liq.
63
Ends in over 2 years

59%

Democratic

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

2%

Yes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.2m Vol.
$415k Liq.
137
Ends in 7 months

50%

Democrats Sweep

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

82%

Yes

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

$888k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

Yes

NY-16 Democratic Primary Winner

primary election · All

NY-16 Democratic Primary Winner

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

George Latimer

Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?

Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Will Trump tweet again by next Friday?

Will Trump tweet again by next Friday?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Trump on ballot in every state?

Trump on ballot in every state?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Yes

Trump convicted of another felony before election?

No

Will Andy Kim win New Jersey Dem Senate Primary?

Yes

Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?

Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?

$531k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended

No

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

$80.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
424
Ended

Republicans sweep

Mike Johnson out as Speaker before June?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker before June?

$204k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Majority of GOP Senators sign Trump statement?

Majority of GOP Senators sign Trump statement?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No