American Politics Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$195k Vol.
$49k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$49k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
S
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
$67k Vol.
$78k Liq.
🔥$50k today
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.🔥$50k today$78k Liq.Ends in 5 months
97%
Yes
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
$103k Vol.
$8k Liq.
24
Ended
$103k Vol.$8k Liq.24Ended
4%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$823k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$823k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
60%
Democratic
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.3m Vol.
$557k Liq.
147
Ends in 7 months
$4.3m Vol.$557k Liq.147Ends in 7 months
51%
Democrats Sweep
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$120k today$20k Liq.173
17%
Yes
R
27%
≤47
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$387k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$1.4m Vol.$387k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$109k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$109k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
35%
Below 190
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$26k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$26k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$964.9m Vol.
$38.2m Liq.
🔥$7.0m today
630
Ends in over 2 years
$964.9m Vol.🔥$7.0m today$38.2m Liq.630Ends in over 2 years
25%
Gavin Newsom
A
62%
Republican Party
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$483.7m Vol.
$29.0m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
809
Ends in over 2 years
$483.7m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$29.0m Liq.809Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance