Mayorkas Predictions & Odds· 125 markets

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$772k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$772k Vol.$112k Liq.Ends in 2 months
42%
Karen Bass

89%
Ras Baraka

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$8.8m Vol.
$639k Liq.
🔥$683k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$8.8m Vol.🔥$683k today$639k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
$2.4m Vol.
$111k Liq.
🔥$70k today
5
Ends in 2 months
$2.4m Vol.🔥$70k today$111k Liq.5Ends in 2 months
93%
Park Chan-dae

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
$241k Vol.
$95k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$241k Vol.$95k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
72%
Chun Jae-soo

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
$100k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
47%
Kenyan McDuffie

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner
$2.1m Vol.
$147k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$2.1m Vol.$147k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
96%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$15k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$15k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$18k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$18k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 9 hours
$73k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$30k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$30k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$139k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
12%
April 30

Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
$61k Vol.
$128k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$61k Vol.$128k Liq.Ends in 12 days
69%
Fidesz-KDNP

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$50.2m Vol.
$793k Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
105
Ends in 12 days
$50.2m Vol.🔥$1.2m today$793k Liq.105Ends in 12 days
69%
TISZA

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner
$163k Vol.
$42k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$163k Vol.$42k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
74%
Tisza

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$810 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$810 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
20-39

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$444k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$444k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M