Mercury Prize Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

C
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

$8.2m Vol.
$825k Liq.
20
Ends in 7 months

61%

Eric Swalwell

W
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

$422k Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months

65%

Eric Swalwell

W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$369k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

66%

Hong Wang

A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$657 Liq.
Ends in 9 months

60%

Yes

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$12.2m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$85k today
146
Ends in 6 months

11%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

C
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

$7k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

90%

Johnny Speeds

C
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

HOTU

2
2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner

Chess · Sports

2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner

$2.4m Vol.
$349k Liq.
🔥$340k today
79
Ends in 15 days

52%

Javokhir Sindarov

M
MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner

American League · baseball

MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner

$13k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

36%

Ty France

D
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs

Esports · Dota 2

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yellow Submarine

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$12k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs Last Bullet (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs Last Bullet (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Group A

$6k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

80%

Change The Game

F
F1: Action of the Year

Sports · Formula 1

F1: Action of the Year

$7k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 months

29%

Max Verstappen

C
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

$15k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

28%

Team Nemesis

W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

$293k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

51%

↑ 0.30

M
MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner

Platinum Glove · Sports

MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner

$11k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

41%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

C
Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

$0 Vol.
$545 Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours

41%

Last Bullet

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.5m Vol.
$430k Liq.
🔥$163k today
258
Ends in 3 months

57%

>$600M

C
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B

$12k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

60%

Lilmix

S
StarCraft II: Maru vs MaxPax (BO7) - RSL Revival Playoffs

Esports · Starcraft 2

StarCraft II: Maru vs MaxPax (BO7) - RSL Revival Playoffs

$0 Vol.
$224 Liq.
Ends in 2 days

51%

Maru