Mercury Prize Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
California Governor Election Winner
$7.9m Vol.
$699k Liq.
🔥$478k today
20
Ends in 7 months
$7.9m Vol.🔥$478k today$699k Liq.20Ends in 7 months
62%
Eric Swalwell
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$393k Vol.
$353k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$393k Vol.$353k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$366k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months
$366k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in 4 months
84%
Hong Wang
61%
Yes
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$12.0m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$175k today
147
Ends in 6 months
$12.0m Vol.🔥$175k today$1.8m Liq.147Ends in 6 months
11%
Yulia Navalnaya
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$9k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
HOTU
Chess · Sports
2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner
$1.8m Vol.
$224k Liq.
🔥$202k today
48
Ends in 17 days
$1.8m Vol.🔥$202k today$224k Liq.48Ends in 17 days
41%
Fabiano Caruana
American League · baseball
MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner
$13k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$38k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
37%
Matt Chapman
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
$28k Vol.
$227k Liq.
Ends in about 1 hour
$28k Vol.$227k Liq.Ends in about 1 hour
0%
BESTIA
Esports · Dota 2
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$6k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yellow Submarine
46%
Yes
Sports · Formula 1
F1: Action of the Year
$7k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Max Verstappen
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group A
$0 Vol.
$880 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$0 Vol.$880 Liq.Ends in 1 day
62%
Marsborne
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$291k Vol.$2k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
51%
↑ 0.50
Platinum Glove · Sports
MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner
$10k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 9 months
41%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B
$0 Vol.
$632 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$0 Vol.$632 Liq.Ends in 2 days
41%
Lilmix
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$449k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$449k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$36k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
15%
↑ $4