Mercury Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$368k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months

84%

Hong Wang

A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$860 Liq.
Ends in 9 months

61%

Yes

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$12.0m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$169k today
147
Ends in 6 months

11%

Yulia Navalnaya

2
2025 Mercury Prize Winner

2025 Mercury Prize Winner

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Sam Fender – ‘People Watching’

W
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

mathematics · competition

Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

No

1
100m Butterfly Winner (W)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

100m Butterfly Winner (W)

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Torri Huske (USA)

1
100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Today's Olympics · Sports

100m Butterfly Winner (M)

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Kristof Milak (HUN)

W
Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?

All

Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
W
Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)

2
200m Backstroke Winner (M)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

200m Backstroke Winner (M)

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Hubert Kos (HUN)

N
Nobel Prize in Literature

Nobel Prize in Literature

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

Other

W
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid?

All

Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Grammys: Best New Artist

Music · gracie abrams

Grammys: Best New Artist

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Victoria Monét

N
Norway Melodi Grand Prix 2026 Winner

Norway Melodi Grand Prix 2026 Winner

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Jonas Lovv

D
Denmark Melodi Grand Prix 2026 Winner

Denmark Melodi Grand Prix 2026 Winner

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Søren Torpegaard

1
100m Freestyle Winner (M)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

100m Freestyle Winner (M)

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Zhanle Pan (CHN)

I
Iceland Presidential Election Winner

Iceland Presidential Election Winner

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Halla Tómasdóttir

M
MBC 2025: Research Competition Winner

MBC 2025: Research Competition Winner

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

$PI (University of Indiana)