Mucarsel Powell Predictions & Odds· 136 markets
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$41k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.9m Vol.$41k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
1%
Yes
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$23k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$23k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$118k Vol.
$15k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$118k Vol.$15k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
68%
June 30
J
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$18k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$17.8m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
74
Ends in 7 months
$17.8m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$1.7m Liq.74Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
F
Fed decision in April?
$45.4m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$3.4m today
38
Ends in 27 days
$45.4m Vol.🔥$3.4m today$4.4m Liq.38Ends in 27 days
98%
No change
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$15.4m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$182k today
61
Ends in 9 months
$15.4m Vol.🔥$182k today$1.3m Liq.61Ends in 9 months
31%
0 (0 bps)
F
Fed Decision in June?
$5.2m Vol.
$934k Liq.
🔥$118k today
22
Ends in 3 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$118k today$934k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
90%
No change
F
14%
Yes
N
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$4.2m Vol.
$713k Liq.
42
Ends in 9 months
$4.2m Vol.$713k Liq.42Ends in 9 months
44%
No Next PM in 2026
F
80%
No change
N
NBA · Basketball
NBA Three Pointers Made Per Game Leader
$717k Vol.
$180k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 days
$717k Vol.$180k Liq.4Ends in 10 days
97%
Luka Doncic
F
64%
December Meeting
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.0m Vol.
$294k Liq.
7
Ends in 8 months
$6.0m Vol.$294k Liq.7Ends in 8 months
28%
3.5%
F
28%
October Meeting
W
Who will Trump meet with in April?
$30k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$30k Vol.$120k Liq.Ends in 28 days
59%
Elon Musk
N
NBA · Basketball
NBA Sixth Man of the Year Winner
$158k Vol.
$48k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$158k Vol.$48k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
71%
Keldon Johnson
H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$167k Vol.
$29k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$167k Vol.$29k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
86%
4.5%