Mucarsel Powell Predictions & Odds· 136 markets
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$41k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.9m Vol.$41k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
1%
Yes
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$23k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$23k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$118k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$118k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
J
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$24k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$17.9m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
74
Ends in 7 months
$17.9m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$1.8m Liq.74Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
F
Fed decision in April?
$45.8m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
39
Ends in 26 days
$45.8m Vol.🔥$2.2m today$4.4m Liq.39Ends in 26 days
98%
No change
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$15.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$164k today
61
Ends in 9 months
$15.4m Vol.🔥$164k today$1.2m Liq.61Ends in 9 months
31%
0 (0 bps)
F
Fed Decision in June?
$5.2m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$80k today
22
Ends in 3 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$80k today$1.0m Liq.22Ends in 3 months
90%
No change
F
14%
Yes
N
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$4.2m Vol.
$744k Liq.
42
Ends in 9 months
$4.2m Vol.$744k Liq.42Ends in 9 months
44%
No Next PM in 2026
F
80%
No change
N
NBA · Basketball
NBA Three Pointers Made Per Game Leader
$718k Vol.
$169k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 days
$718k Vol.$169k Liq.4Ends in 9 days
97%
Luka Doncic
F
64%
December Meeting
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
W
Who will Trump meet with in April?
$30k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$30k Vol.$131k Liq.Ends in 27 days
58%
Elon Musk
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.0m Vol.
$301k Liq.
7
Ends in 8 months
$6.0m Vol.$301k Liq.7Ends in 8 months
26%
3.5%
N
NBA · Basketball
NBA Sixth Man of the Year Winner
$171k Vol.
$46k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$171k Vol.$46k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
75%
Keldon Johnson
F
27%
October Meeting
H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$167k Vol.
$28k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$167k Vol.$28k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
86%
4.5%