Nate Silver Predictions &amp; Odds · 282 markets

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k Vol.

$2k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

9%

Up

H

Politics·Trump Presidency

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$43k Vol.

$20k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

36%

35%

H

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$3k Vol.

$22k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

12%

↑ 44%

T

Politics·Nate Silver

Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?

$184k Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

Ended

Yes

K

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?

$39k Vol.

$0 Liq.

6

Ended

No

K

Politics·Nate Silver

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?

$209k Vol.

$0 Liq.

22

Ended

No

T

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

$207k Vol.

$0 Liq.

7

Ended

No

T

Politics·Approval

Trump approval rating on March 28?

$308k Vol.

$0 Liq.

528

Ended

47.0-47.4

T

Trump approval rating on March 14?

$96k Vol.

$0 Liq.

528

Ended

47.5-47.9%

T

Trump approval rating on March 21?

$162k Vol.

$0 Liq.

528

Ended

47.5-47.9

W

Politics·stein

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

$9.9m Vol.

$0 Liq.

1,835

Ended

Yes

W

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

$1.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

521

Ended

Alaska

R

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

$5.5m Vol.

$0 Liq.

650

Ended

No

W

Politics·Kamala

Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

$41k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

Wisconsin

W

Politics·queer

Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?

$264k Vol.

$0 Liq.

20

Ended

No

A

Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?

$118k Vol.

$0 Liq.

20

Ended

No

W

Who will win white women?

$596k Vol.

$0 Liq.

67

Ended

Trump

T

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

$1.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

136

Ended

Harris by 1.5-1.9

H