Nato Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$422k Vol.
$13k Liq.
17
Ended

3%

Yes

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
24
Ends in about 11 hours

1%

Yes

NATO dissolves before 2027?

NATO dissolves before 2027?

$56k Vol.
$21k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

$82k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

December 31

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

$269k Vol.
$21k Liq.
14
Ended

4%

Yes

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

$50k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

65%

Yes

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

$1.1m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

0%

Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

$91k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

0%

Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

21%

December 31

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$3.7m Vol.
$59k Liq.
56
Ended

5%

Yes

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

$152k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

NATO Article 5 by March 31?

Politics · Geopolitics

NATO Article 5 by March 31?

$39k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

1%

Yes

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

$1.1m Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

4%

Yes

NATO article 5 before 2027?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$35k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$440k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$99k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes