Open Source Intel Predictions & Odds· 966 markets
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$776k Vol.
$52k Liq.
🔥$76k today
1
Ends in 4 days
$776k Vol.🔥$76k today$52k Liq.1Ends in 4 days
97%
6-9
38%
December 31
23%
December 31
US strike on Mexico by...?
$3.2m Vol.
$52k Liq.
162
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$52k Liq.162Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
22%
December 31
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
8%
Yes
60%
April 17
46%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
37%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$46k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$46k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 5 days
52%
1
39%
December 31, 2026
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
78%
SpaceX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
82%
December 31, 2026
22%
December 31, 2026
