Open Source Intel 预测与赔率· 956 个市场

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

$769k 交易量
$90k 流动性
🔥$82k 今日
4 天后结束

96%

6-9

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

$2.8m 交易量
$70k 流动性
🔥$51k 今日
49
9 个月后结束

38%

December 31

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

$3.2m 交易量
$48k 流动性
161
9 个月后结束

24%

December 31

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

$1.5m 交易量
$32k 流动性
43
已结束

22%

December 31

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$23k 流动性
59
已结束

25%

December 31

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

25%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

2%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$13k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束

14%

Yes

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

45%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
31
已结束

44%

December 31, 2026

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$42k 交易量
$18k 流动性
5 天后结束

49%

1

OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

$1.1m 交易量
$19k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

39%

December 31, 2026

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
将近 2 年后结束

79%

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
将近 2 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$34k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$21k 流动性
79
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

46%

Head-mounted display