Open Source Intel 预测与赔率

Politics·Trump

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

$771k 交易量

$62k 流动性

🔥$84k 今日

4 天后结束

96%

6-9

Geopolitics·Venezuela

US strike on Cuba by...?

$2.8m 交易量

$95k 流动性

🔥$53k 今日

50

9 个月后结束

38%

December 31

Politics·Trump

US strike on Mexico by...?

$3.2m 交易量

$59k 流动性

161

9 个月后结束

25%

December 31

Politics·Venezuela

US strike on Colombia by...?

$1.5m 交易量

$32k 流动性

43

已结束

22%

December 31

Politics·Venezuela

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量

$24k 流动性

60

已结束

24%

December 31

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量

$6k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

29%

Yes

Tech·gpt

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量

$7k 流动性

大约 7 小时后结束

2%

Yes

Tech·AI

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量

$23k 流动性

4

93%

June 30

Tech·outage

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量

$4k 流动性

10 天后结束

8%

Yes

Tech·chatgpt

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量

$5k 流动性

已结束

20%

Yes

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量

$11k 流动性

108

3 个月后结束

45%

Yes

Tech·OpenAI

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量

$8k 流动性

32

已结束

44%

December 31, 2026

Tech·llm

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量

$9k 流动性

9

9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

Climate & Science·Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$171k 交易量

$8k 流动性

6

9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

Tech·IPOs

OpenAI IPO by...?

$1.1m 交易量

$21k 流动性

3

9 个月后结束

40%

December 31, 2026

Tech·Science

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量

$3k 流动性

5

将近 2 年后结束

78%

SpaceX

Tech·Business

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量

$3k 流动性

1

将近 2 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

Tech·OpenAI

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量

$41k 流动性

40

已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

Tech·Business

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量

$23k 流动性

80

9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

Tech·Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量

$8k 流动性

12

9 个月后结束

41%

Head-mounted display

Open Source Intel 预测与赔率· 957 个市场

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

OpenAI IPO by...?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

GPT-6 released by…?

AI bubble burst by...?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

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