Outage Predictions & Odds· 471 markets
C
66%
April 17
C
6%
Yes
I
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$118k Vol.
$25k Liq.
31
Ends in 28 days
$118k Vol.$25k Liq.31Ends in 28 days
13%
April 30
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$357k Vol.
$40k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$40k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
72%
June 30
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$12k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$12k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 28 days
46%
9-11
C
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 28 days
28%
Yes
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
$17 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$17 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
9-11
A
48%
Yes
G
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 2?
$515 Vol.
$53 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$515 Vol.$53 Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
8%
Up
S
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 2?
$333 Vol.
$160 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$333 Vol.$160 Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
6%
Up
W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 2?
$278 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$278 Vol.$12 Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
74%
Up
G
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 2?
$269 Vol.
$469 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$269 Vol.$469 Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
16%
Up
S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 2?
$146 Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$146 Vol.$64 Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
20%
Up
N
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 2?
$127 Vol.
$362 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$127 Vol.$362 Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
14%
Up