Outer Space Predictions & Odds· 158 markets
S
Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$449k Vol.
$81k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$449k Vol.$81k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
72%
$5M
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$403k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
65%
<5
S
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$1.0m Vol.
$167k Liq.
🔥$194k today
24
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.🔥$194k today$167k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
94%
December 31
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
5
37%
Yes
1
7%
Yes
S
SpaceX files IPO by...?
$89k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in about 14 hours
$89k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in about 14 hours
99%
Yes
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$280k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$280k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$664k Vol.
$103k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
$664k Vol.$103k Liq.8Ends in over 1 year
46%
2.0T+
T
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$145k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$145k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
N
30%
Yes
H
27%
70-80B
H
57%
13
W
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
$706k Vol.
$45k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$706k Vol.$45k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$246k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$246k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
140-159