Peace Predictions & Odds· 397 markets

R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

$385k Vol.
$44k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$12.2m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$85k today
146
Ends in 6 months

11%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

$70k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$188k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

$96 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

28%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.9m Vol.
$388k Liq.
🔥$497k today
Ends in 28 days

2%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$4.4m Vol.
$455k Liq.
🔥$262k today
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

$14k Vol.
$200k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

5%

Yes

U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$78k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

11%

Yes

U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

$19k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

$3k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year

39%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

$2k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year

51%

Yes

U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

$84k Vol.
$15k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$12k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$80.9m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$8.6m today
1,403

73%

December 31

I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$430k Vol.
$36k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

41%

June 30

I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

$199k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

6%

Yes