Pelosi Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
$330k Vol.
$41k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months
$330k Vol.$41k Liq.4Ends in 2 months
65%
Scott Wiener

Politics
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
100%
Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$463k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$463k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$412k Liq.
140
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$412k Liq.140Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
38%
April 30

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$158k Vol.
$12k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$12k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
51%
December 31

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party

93%
Democratic Party

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$53k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
160-179

94%
Democratic Party

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner
$13k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$13k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
89%
Janelle Stelson

93%
Republican Party

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$7k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
69%
Bob Brooks

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$4 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$4 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 30 days
37%
25 - 30 minutes

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
11%
Yes

93%
Republican Party
