Physics Predictions & Odds· 193 markets
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$97k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$97k Vol.$114k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
12%
Khurais Field
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$94k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$94k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$121k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
$137k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$80k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$351k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$20k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
$54k Vol.
$61k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$54k Vol.$61k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
43%
15s+
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$144k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in about 9 hours
$144k Vol.$10k Liq.32Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
$69k Vol.
$799 Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$69k Vol.$799 Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$27k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$27k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
2%
Yes
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
57%
Yes
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$21k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
$193k Vol.
$14k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$193k Vol.$14k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
89%
Jack Antonoff
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$1k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
