Physics Predictions & Odds· 271 markets
Will Blake Lively attend the Met Gala?
$0 Vol.
$243 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$243 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
46%
Yes
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
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3
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11%
Yes
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
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41%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?
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Ends in about 1 month
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43%
Yes
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
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3
Ends in 3 months
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23%
June 30
3%
Yes
11%
Khurais Field
55%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
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8
Ends in 9 months
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43%
15s+
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
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4
Ends in 3 months
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56%
Yes
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
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Ends in about 9 hours
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0%
Yes
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
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1
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0%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
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2
Ends in 9 months
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9%
Yes
US x Russia military clash by...?
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15
Ends in 9 months
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10%
December 31, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
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31
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20%
December 31
2%
Yes
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
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Ends in 9 months
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8%
Yes
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
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2
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1%
Yes
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
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Ends in about 9 hours
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2%
Yes