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Poilievre Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpElectionsU.S. PoliticsCanadaChinaUS GovernmentWorld AffairsCultureFranceGlobal ElectionsCourtsGeopoliticsEconomyMentionsTrump PresidencyJustin TrudeauTrudeau OutTrump 100 DaysTariffsTrade WarForeign PolicyFirst 100 DaysMark CarneyPoilievreWorldCanadian ElectionLiberation Day TariffsPierreMarine Le Pen
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Politics·Pierre

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

$116k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Politics·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Terrebone By-Election Winner

$47k Vol.
$91k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days

59%

Tatiana Auguste

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Politics·Marine Le Pen

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
22
Ends in about 6 hours

19%

Yes

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$383k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?

World·poilievre

Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

Will Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May?

Politics·Trade War

Will Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May?

$416k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Canada backs out of F-35 deal?

Politics·Canada

Canada backs out of F-35 deal?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?

World·Trump 100 Days

Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?

$761k Vol.
$0 Liq.
136
Ended

Yes

Trump banned from Canada before May?

Geopolitics·poilievre

Trump banned from Canada before May?

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?

Economy·Trade War

Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

No

Canada out of Five Eyes before July?

World·poilievre

Canada out of Five Eyes before July?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?

Politics·Trudeau out

Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
98
Ended

No

Canada election called before April?

Politics·Trudeau out

Canada election called before April?

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

Yes

Which Party wins most seats in Canadian election?

Politics·Canada

Which Party wins most seats in Canadian election?

$12.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
165
Ended

Liberal Party

Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?

World·Trade War

Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?

$428k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended

No

Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?

Politics·Canadian Election

Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?

$918k Vol.
$0 Liq.
308
Ended

Yes

Poilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives before June?

Politics·Canada

Poilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives before June?

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?

World·Canada

Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?

$115k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

Yes

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Politics·U.S. Politics

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

$988k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Canadian Election Debate Mentions: Poilievre

Politics·world affairs

Canadian Election Debate Mentions: Poilievre

$319k Vol.
$0 Liq.
41
Ended

Trump 3+ times