Policies Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$26k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$26k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$26k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$26k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 6 hours
$73k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
45%
Yes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$154k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$154k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
70%
160-179
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
160-179
8%
Yes
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$965 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$965 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 6 hours
$82k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 6 hours
$312k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in about 6 hours
$18k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in about 6 hours
100%
Nothing