Poll Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
44%
39.5–39.9
21%
Up
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
36%
35%
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
34%
Up
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$11k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$20k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
53%
ThreadGuy
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
87%
50
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$131k Vol.
$27k Liq.
105
Ended
$131k Vol.$27k Liq.105Ended
88%
70–75%
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$85k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$85k Vol.$50k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
46%
71–74%
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$33k Vol.
$49k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$33k Vol.$49k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
28%
54%+
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$37k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$37k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$69k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$69k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
38%
Lula da Silva <5%
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes