Polling Predictions & Odds· 130 markets

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m Vol.
$57k Liq.
162
Ends in 28 days

56%

June 30, 2026

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$943k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 13 days

87%

May 15

W
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?

Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?

$70k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

97%

Yes

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$63k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

57%

June 30

G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$824k Vol.
$39k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months

31%

June 30

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k Vol.
$5k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4

93%

June 30

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k Vol.
$22k Liq.
40
Ended

83%

December 31, 2026

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

59%

June 30

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$43k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended

16%

Yes

M
Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$22k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

𝕏 Money launched by...?

𝕏 Money launched by...?

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

61%

April 30

G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

19%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

W
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

U
UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

$739k Vol.
$7k Liq.
13
Ended

3%

Yes

T
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

$237k Vol.
$38k Liq.
138
Ended

100%

70–75%

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

40%

59-60%

T
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

$98k Vol.
$57k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days

45%

71–74%

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1.6m Vol.
$25k Liq.
363
Ended

50%

<55%