Polling Predictions & Odds· 130 markets
56%
April 15
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$80k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$80k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
72%
June 30, 2026
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$809k Vol.
$100k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$809k Vol.$100k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
44%
June 30
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?
$40k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$40k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
76%
April 30
Claude Mythos released by…?
$42k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$42k Vol.$21k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
49%
June 30
21%
June 30, 2026
82%
December 31, 2026
VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$41k Vol.$16k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
55%
April 30
Meta "Mango" model released by...?
$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$4k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
6%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$124k Vol.
$11k Liq.
88
Ended
$124k Vol.$11k Liq.88Ended
56%
70–75%
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$65k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$84k Vol.$65k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
46%
71–74%
68%
55-60%