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Primary Ballot Predictions & Odds· 131 markets

AllPoliticsUSA ElectionRepublican PartyTrumpNikki HaleyElectionsBidenUS ElectionsU.S. Presidential ElectionU.S. PoliticsCourt CasesUS GovernmentCaliforniaU.S. Presidential Election 2024U.S. ElectionElections 2024Donald TrumpElection 2024ReferendumAbortionAmerican PoliticsUS Presidential Election 2024CultureU.S. Supreme CourtColorado2024 BallotPrimary BallotStatesUS PoliticsMaineNevadaArizonaCourtsNew York CityUS NewsTrump TrialsPOTUSPropositionBallot InitiativeNYC MayorNov 4 Elections
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot?

Politics·Trump

Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot?

$110k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot?

Politics·Trump

Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot?

$121k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot?

Elections·California

Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?

Politics·u.s. supreme court

Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?

$244k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?

Politics·nikki haley

Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?

$122k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

No

Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31?

Politics·Trump

Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31?

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

All

Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Abortion on the 2024 ballot in Arizona?

abortion · arizona

Abortion on the 2024 ballot in Arizona?

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

% of inactive ballots in NYC Mayor Dem Primary

Elections·NYC Mayor

% of inactive ballots in NYC Mayor Dem Primary

$138k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

4–8%

What RCV round will Mamdani first lead?

Politics·NYC Mayor

What RCV round will Mamdani first lead?

$231k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

1

NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds

Politics·New York City

NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds

$2.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
492
Ended

3

What will the margin of victory be in the 2021 OH-11 democratic primary?

All

What will the margin of victory be in the 2021 OH-11 democratic primary?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.

All

What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Trump on ballot in every state?

Politics·USA Election

Trump on ballot in every state?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Yes

Will Biden be on Ohio Presidential Ballot?

Politics·USA Election

Will Biden be on Ohio Presidential Ballot?

$126k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands?

All

Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands?

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting?

All

Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?

Politics · Culture

AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?

$475k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?

Politics·us government

Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Yes

Will Washington's anti-carbon cap initiative pass?

Politics·USA Election

Will Washington's anti-carbon cap initiative pass?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No