Product Marekt Fit Predictions & Odds· 186 markets
43%
Yes
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$4k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$4k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
38%
Head-mounted display
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$254k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
56%
Yes
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$5k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
90%
Yes
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$19k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$19k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$112 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$112 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
Yes
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
53%
1.5%–1.8%
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in about 5 hours
$199k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
40%
0.0–0.2%
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$17k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
64%
0.0-0.3%
40%
1.5–1.9%
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Prediction Markets · Business
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
$338k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in about 5 hours
$338k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$226k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$226k Vol.$22k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
23%
2.5–3.0%